Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Breeze Over
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Jet Dynasty 3 58.5 1 0.00 3.5 78 65 78 +0 2 Breeze Over 5 60.0 2 0.80 0.0 81 81 81 +0 3 Mambo Come Tesio 3 56.0 3 1.20 3.5 73 66 66 -7 4 River Romeo 2 58.5 4 4.00 0.0 78 74 74 -4 5 Luthuli 5 55.5 5 5.75 0.0 72 66 66 -6 6 The Inkosana 3 52.5 6 6.25 3.5 59 53 53 -6 7 Follow My Path 5 53.5 7 8.25 0.0 61 62 62 +1 8 Royal Mazarin 4 55.5 8 9.00 1.5 65 63 63 -2 9 Nuclear Force 5 57.0 9 13.00 0.0 75 69 69 -6 10 Masters Queen 3 57.0 10 20.00 3.5 68 62 62 -6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jet Dynasty | 78 | 82 | 78 | +4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Breeze Over Line | 81 | 99 | 81 | +18 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Mambo Come Tesio | 73 | 80 | 66 | +14 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | River Romeo | 78 | 94 | 74 | +20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Luthuli | 72 | 74 | 66 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | The Inkosana | 59 | 67 | 53 | +14 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Follow My Path | 61 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Royal Mazarin | 65 | 70 | 63 | +7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Nuclear Force | 75 | 61 | 69 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Masters Queen | 68 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points