Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CLASS 3 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 94)
Line Horse
Beerenberg
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Wecangoallnight 2 56.0 1 0.00 2.0 87 87 87 +0 2 Beerenberg 2 58.5 2 2.75 2.0 92 92 92 +0 3 Veldskoen (AUS) 4 55.0 3 3.25 3.5 81 82 82 +1 4 Mount Pleasant (AUS 4 59.5 4 4.50 3.5 90 91 91 +1 5 Tchaikovsky 6 57.0 5 4.55 0.0 85 93 93 +8 6 Champion Warrior 3 60.0 6 4.65 3.0 95 93 93 -2 7 The Tinkerman 3 56.5 7 5.90 3.0 84 86 86 +2 8 Northern Song 4 57.5 8 10.65 3.5 86 87 87 +1 9 Street Outlaw 5 59.0 9 11.05 0.0 93 97 97 +4 10 Transact 3 55.0 10 13.80 3.0 81 83 83 +2 11 Wyag 2 55.0 11 14.30 2.0 85 85 85 +0 99 All About Al 7 56.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 92 92 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wecangoallnight | 87 | 95 | 87 | +8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Beerenberg Line | 92 | 76 | 92 | -16 | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Veldskoen (AUS) | 81 | 71 | 82 | -11 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Mount Pleasant (AUS) | 90 | 71 | 91 | -20 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Tchaikovsky | 85 | 81 | 93 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Champion Warrior | 95 | 97 | 93 | +4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | The Tinkerman | 84 | 76 | 86 | -10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Northern Song | 86 | 77 | 87 | -10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Street Outlaw | 93 | 78 | 97 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Transact | 81 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Wyag | 85 | 74 | 85 | -11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | All About Al | - | 78 | 92 | -14 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points