Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 5 MAY MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Victory Of Dubai
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Caitlyns Boy         2    59.5    1    0.00     2.0   77    75           77    +0
2    Slim Jannie          2    58.5    2    1.00     2.0   75    73           73    -2
3    Victory Of Dubai     3    59.0    3    1.25     3.0   72    72           72    +0
4    Jaquar Cat           3    52.0    4    1.50     3.0   58    58           58    +0
5    Kuznetsov            2    59.0    5    1.75     2.0   76    74           74    -2
6    Notorix              6    59.5    6    2.25     0.0   73    79           79    +6
7    Russian Empire       5    58.0    7    4.50     0.0   74    76           76    +2
8    Uncle Ticky Bird     2    59.5    8    5.00     2.0   77    75           75    -2
9    Modern Magician      3    57.5    9    6.25     3.0   68    69           69    +1
10   Queen's Wood         3    61.5    10   6.50     3.0   77    77           77    +0
11   Beckoning Beauty     4    60.5    11   6.60     3.5   75    74           74    -1
12   Isn't It Bliss       4    52.0    12   7.35     3.5   50    57           57    +7
13   Persica              5    56.5    13   9.60     0.0   67    73           73    +6
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Caitlyns Boy 77 71 77 -6 2.0 -
2 Slim Jannie 75 95 73 +22 2.0 -
3 Victory Of Dubai Line 72 70 72 -2 3.0
4 Jaquar Cat 58 46 58 -12 3.0 -
5 Kuznetsov 76 61 74 -13 2.0 -
6 Notorix 73 68 79 -11 0.0 -
7 Russian Empire 74 53 76 -23 0.0 -
8 Uncle Ticky Bird 77 71 75 -4 2.0 -
9 Modern Magician 68 56 69 -13 3.0 -
10 Queen's Wood 77 74 77 -3 3.0 -
11 Beckoning Beauty 75 75 74 +1 3.5 -
12 Isn't It Bliss 50 51 57 -6 3.5 -
13 Persica 67 48 73 -25 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points