Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: WORLD SPORTS BETTING PREMIER'S CHAMPIONS CHALLENGE (Grade 1) (For all horses at Weight for Age)
Line Horse
Nebraas
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Puerto Manzano (ARG 4 60.0 1 0.00 1.5 123 110 110 -13 2 Second Base 4 60.0 2 0.05 1.5 104 110 110 +6 3 Rain In Holland 3 57.5 3 0.95 3.5 120 107 110 -10 4 Billy Bowlegs 5 56.5 4 1.10 0.0 114 112 112 -2 5 Nebraas 8 60.0 5 2.30 0.0 117 117 117 +0 6 Mk's Pride 4 60.0 6 2.35 1.5 122 114 114 -8 7 Aragosta 3 60.0 7 2.75 3.5 116 109 109 -7 8 Rule By Force 3 56.5 8 3.75 3.5 108 101 101 -7 9 Zeus 3 60.0 9 9.00 3.5 104 106 106 +2 10 Litigation 3 60.0 10 9.75 3.5 113 106 106 -7 11 Divine Odyssey 7 60.0 11 11.00 0.0 109 113 113 +4 12 Golden Ducat 6 60.0 12 11.25 0.0 120 113 113 -7 13 Red Saxon 3 60.0 13 14.75 3.5 116 106 106 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puerto Manzano (ARG) | 123 | 119 | 110 | +9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Second Base | 104 | 99 | 110 | -11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Rain In Holland | 120 | 120 | 110 | +10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Billy Bowlegs | 114 | 104 | 112 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Nebraas Line | 117 | 101 | 117 | -16 | 0.0 | ||
| 6 | Mk's Pride | 122 | 116 | 114 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Aragosta | 116 | 109 | 109 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Rule By Force | 108 | 117 | 101 | +16 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Zeus | 104 | 117 | 106 | +11 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Litigation | 113 | 113 | 106 | +7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Divine Odyssey | 109 | 107 | 113 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Golden Ducat | 120 | 116 | 113 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Red Saxon | 116 | 116 | 106 | +10 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points