Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)

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Line Horse
Shoefella
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Bronze Sword         3    60.0    1    0.00     2.5   77    67           67    -10
2    Shoefella            2    60.0    2    0.90     0.0   76    76           76    +0
3    Kashkaval            3    60.0    3    1.40     2.5   70    70           70    +0
4    Triton               3    60.0    4    2.60     2.5   60    69           69    +9
5    Mister Lincoln       3    60.0    5    2.80     2.5   66    69           69    +3
6    Space Cowboy         3    60.0    6    6.50     2.5   64    67           67    +3
7    Zabadak              2    58.5    7    8.30     0.0   69    69           69    +0
8    Caberneigh           3    58.5    8    10.50    2.5   -     64           64    +64
9    Blitzen              2    60.0    9    11.60    0.0   59    72           72    +13
10   True Trojan          3    60.0    10   11.65    2.5   -     67           67    +67
11   Let Em Go            5    60.0    11   12.75    0.0   52    72           72    +20
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Bronze Sword 77 66 67 -1 2.5 -
2 Shoefella Line 76 82 76 +6 0.0
3 Kashkaval 70 74 70 +4 2.5 -
4 Triton 60 52 69 -17 2.5 -
5 Mister Lincoln 66 57 69 -12 2.5 -
6 Space Cowboy 64 67 67 ✓ Match 2.5 -
7 Zabadak 69 52 69 -17 0.0 -
8 Caberneigh - 61 64 -3 2.5 -
9 Blitzen 59 57 72 -15 0.0 -
10 True Trojan - 64 67 -3 2.5 -
11 Let Em Go 52 57 72 -15 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points