Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: WORLD SPORTS BETTING SWEET CHESTNUT STAKES (Listed) (For F&M 3-years & older (Leg 1 of the Winter Series))
Line Horse
Kwinta's Light
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Happy Chance 2 56.0 1 0.00 0.0 106 102 102 -4 2 Kwinta's Light 3 56.5 2 0.30 1.5 105 105 105 +0 3 Echo Of Life 2 55.0 3 3.55 0.0 101 101 101 +0 4 Young Love 3 55.5 4 6.05 1.5 97 98 98 +1 5 Broadway Girl 5 55.0 5 6.55 0.0 103 100 100 -3 6 Marina 4 60.0 6 6.85 0.5 117 109 109 -8 7 Gimme's Lassie 5 56.0 7 8.10 0.0 107 102 102 -5 8 Ciao Bella 2 59.0 8 9.60 0.0 110 108 108 -2 9 Senhora Victoria 3 55.0 9 10.00 1.5 74 97 97 +23 99 Gold Poker Game 2 55.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 101 101 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Happy Chance | 106 | 118 | 102 | +16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Kwinta's Light Line | 105 | 109 | 105 | +4 | 1.5 | ||
| 3 | Echo Of Life | 101 | 91 | 101 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Young Love | 97 | 95 | 98 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Broadway Girl | 103 | 89 | 100 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Marina | 117 | 112 | 109 | +3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Gimme's Lassie | 107 | 101 | 102 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Ciao Bella | 110 | 110 | 108 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Senhora Victoria | 74 | 66 | 97 | -31 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Gold Poker Game | - | 105 | 101 | +4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points