Official NHA Assessment

Race 6: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MR 79 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Lord Varys
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Celestial City       4    60.0    1    0.00     0.5   79    75           79    +0
2    Bob's Your Uncle     5    60.0    2    0.25     0.0   83    76           76    -7
3    Lord Varys           4    58.5    3    1.25     0.5   76    76           76    +0
4    Jp Two Thousand      3    58.0    4    1.40     2.0   75    71           71    -4
5    Vitellius            5    59.0    5    2.10     0.0   81    77           77    -4
6    Southern Blaze       3    60.0    6    3.10     2.0   79    74           74    -5
7    Dungeons             2    58.0    7    5.75     0.0   79    72           72    -7
8    Castle Corner        4    58.5    8    5.80     0.5   76    72           72    -4
9    We've Got Tonight    3    57.5    9    6.50     2.0   78    67           68    -10
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Celestial City 79 92 79 +13 0.5 -
2 Bob's Your Uncle 83 103 76 +27 0.0 -
3 Lord Varys Line 76 75 76 -1 0.5
4 Jp Two Thousand 75 61 71 -10 2.0 -
5 Vitellius 81 73 77 -4 0.0 -
6 Southern Blaze 79 89 74 +15 2.0 -
7 Dungeons 79 73 72 +1 0.0 -
8 Castle Corner 76 72 72 ✓ Match 0.5 -
9 We've Got Tonight 78 75 68 +7 2.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points