Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: SABLE LAGER MAIDEN PLATE (Maiden Plate Colts & Geldings to carry)
Line Horse
Elmhurst
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Elmhurst 2 60.0 1 0.00 1.5 55 55 55 +0 2 Evocative 3 57.5 2 0.25 2.5 52 48 48 -4 3 Apache Gold 3 60.0 3 0.50 2.5 45 53 53 +8 4 Nandine 3 57.5 4 1.75 2.5 - 48 48 +48 5 Aratula 3 60.0 5 3.50 2.5 - 53 53 +53 6 Jumped A Red 2 54.5 6 13.50 1.5 - 44 44 +44 7 Onceajackpot 3 60.0 7 14.50 2.5 - 53 53 +53 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elmhurst Line | 55 | 56 | 55 | +1 | 1.5 | ||
| 2 | Evocative | 52 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Apache Gold | 45 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Nandine | - | 60 | 48 | +12 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Aratula | - | 45 | 53 | -8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Jumped A Red | - | 42 | 44 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Onceajackpot | - | 53 | 53 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points