Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: CALL TELEBET TRACK & BALL FIXED ODDS ON 031 314 1155 MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Winter Journey
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
15 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lady Macbeth 3 60.0 1 0.00 5.0 66 70 70 +4 2 Winter Journey 3 60.0 2 1.60 5.0 70 70 70 +0 3 Noble Storm 3 58.5 3 2.00 5.0 69 67 67 -2 4 Angelic Fort 3 58.5 4 2.25 5.0 67 67 67 +0 5 Run Again 3 60.0 5 3.45 5.0 - 70 70 +70 6 Mia Sophia 3 60.0 6 4.15 5.0 64 70 70 +6 7 Natasia 3 60.0 7 8.25 5.0 - 70 70 +70 8 Pantea 3 60.0 8 10.15 5.0 63 70 70 +7 9 Troubadix 3 60.0 9 11.75 5.0 - 70 70 +70 10 Panchita 3 60.0 10 13.25 5.0 - 70 70 +70 11 Black Peppercorn 3 60.0 11 14.45 5.0 58 70 70 +12 12 American Dame 3 60.0 12 21.65 5.0 34 70 70 +36 13 Vreni 4 60.0 13 22.15 6.0 - 68 68 +68 14 Roy's Breyani 3 60.0 14 99.99 5.0 - 70 70 +70 99 Queen Mercury 4 60.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 68 68 +0 99 Reginas Angel 4 60.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 68 68 +0 99 Shesakinda Magic 3 56.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 62 62 +0 99 Double Dream 3 60.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lady Macbeth | 66 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Winter Journey Line | 70 | 50 | 70 | -20 | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Noble Storm | 69 | 78 | 67 | +11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Angelic Fort | 67 | 50 | 67 | -17 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Run Again | - | 48 | 70 | -22 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Mia Sophia | 64 | 62 | 70 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Natasia | - | 60 | 70 | -10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Pantea | 63 | 57 | 70 | -13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Troubadix | - | 49 | 70 | -21 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Panchita | - | 40 | 70 | -30 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Black Peppercorn | 58 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | American Dame | 34 | 32 | 70 | -38 | 5.0 | - | |
| 13 | Vreni | - | 20 | 68 | -48 | 6.0 | - | |
| 14 | Roy's Breyani | - | 10 | 70 | -60 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Queen Mercury | - | 56 | 68 | -12 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Reginas Angel | - | 49 | 68 | -19 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Shesakinda Magic | - | 58 | 62 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Double Dream | - | 71 | 70 | +1 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points