Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: WORLD SPORTS BETTING GOLD BOWL (Grade 3) (Open)
Line Horse
Arumugam
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Future Pearl 2 50.0 1 0.00 0.0 100 87 87 -13 2 Arumugam 6 52.0 2 3.25 0.0 94 94 94 +0 3 Flying First Class 4 50.5 3 13.00 2.0 88 84 84 -4 4 Electric Surge 5 50.0 4 19.00 0.0 78 87 87 +9 5 Nebraas 8 62.0 5 19.50 0.0 117 111 111 -6 6 Shangani 4 62.0 6 20.50 2.0 120 107 110 -10 7 Apache Fighter 4 50.5 7 23.50 2.0 81 84 84 +3 8 Top Sail 2 50.0 8 27.50 0.0 96 87 87 -9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Future Pearl | 100 | 114 | 87 | +27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Arumugam Line | 94 | 74 | 94 | -20 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Flying First Class | 88 | 82 | 84 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Electric Surge | 78 | 83 | 87 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Nebraas | 117 | 101 | 111 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Shangani | 120 | 118 | 110 | +8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Apache Fighter | 81 | 81 | 84 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Top Sail | 96 | 85 | 87 | -2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points