Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SUNDAY 14 MAY FM 74 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Dancing Dora
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Samoa 10 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 68 68 68 +0 2 Dancing Dora 6 60.0 2 1.25 0.0 74 74 74 +0 3 Clean Living 2 55.5 3 1.30 1.5 68 62 62 -6 4 Time For Charity 5 58.0 4 1.50 0.0 73 70 70 -3 5 Mandalay 3 52.0 5 2.50 2.5 55 53 53 -2 6 Love Bite 3 56.5 6 3.00 2.5 66 62 62 -4 7 Looking Hot 3 56.5 7 4.00 2.5 67 62 62 -5 8 Storm Jewel 3 52.0 8 4.50 2.5 63 53 53 -10 9 Smelting 7 53.5 9 5.00 0.0 66 61 61 -5 10 Splendid Season 2 55.0 10 8.50 1.5 67 61 61 -6 11 Insatiable 3 58.5 11 99.99 2.5 71 66 66 -5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Samoa | 68 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Dancing Dora Line | 74 | 53 | 74 | -21 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Clean Living | 68 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Time For Charity | 73 | 61 | 70 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mandalay | 55 | 53 | 53 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Love Bite | 66 | 65 | 62 | +3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Looking Hot | 67 | 68 | 62 | +6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Storm Jewel | 63 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Smelting | 66 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Splendid Season | 67 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Insatiable | 71 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points