Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 11 MAY MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Conker The World
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Back To Basics 3 56.0 1 0.00 2.0 60 57 60 +0 2 Spring Will Come 3 57.0 2 1.50 2.0 65 62 62 -3 3 Conker The World 4 56.0 3 5.00 0.5 60 60 60 +0 4 Big City Girl 4 53.0 4 6.00 0.5 54 54 54 +0 5 Timbavati River 3 55.5 5 7.50 2.0 59 56 56 -3 6 Speechmaker 5 52.5 6 8.00 0.0 58 54 54 -4 7 Super Secret 2 53.0 7 8.75 0.0 58 55 55 -3 8 Rockingthetimeaway 3 57.5 8 9.00 2.0 63 60 60 -3 9 Gimme Royalty 3 55.5 9 12.00 2.0 59 56 56 -3 10 Bushveld 3 59.5 10 14.00 2.0 74 64 64 -10 11 Masters Queen 3 57.5 11 25.00 2.0 68 60 60 -8 99 Written In Stone 9 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 61 61 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Back To Basics | 60 | 72 | 60 | +12 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Spring Will Come | 65 | 72 | 62 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Conker The World Line | 60 | 57 | 60 | -3 | 0.5 | ||
| 4 | Big City Girl | 54 | 59 | 54 | +5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Timbavati River | 59 | 79 | 56 | +23 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Speechmaker | 58 | 61 | 54 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Super Secret | 58 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Rockingthetimeaway | 63 | 62 | 60 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Gimme Royalty | 59 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Bushveld | 74 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Masters Queen | 68 | 56 | 60 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Written In Stone | - | 67 | 61 | +6 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points