Race 7: WINTER NURSERY (Grade 3) (For 2 yo R100 000 Win BSA Bonus Series)
KENILWORTH RACECOURSE | Wednesday, 10 May 2023 | 16:05
Distance:
1100m
Going:
Good
Stakes:
R200,000
Race Results
| Pos | Horse | A.C.S. | Weight | Draw | Jockey | Len | MR | CMR | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | Distant Winter | 2 b. f | 57.5kg | 2 | Mr G van Niekerk | - | - | 106 | 3/1 |
| 2nd | October Morn | 2 b. f | 57.5kg | 7 | Mr C Zackey | 0.4 | - | 119 | 4/1 |
| 3rd | Blue Holly | 4 b. f | 57.5kg | 4 | Mr A Arries | 1.65 | - | 85 | 14/1 |
| 4 | Baltic Secret TF | 2 b. f | 57.5kg | 9 | Mr R D Fourie | 1.75 | - | 98 | 7/2 |
| 5 | Dumbledore | 4 gr. g | 60.0kg | 3 | Mr P C Orffer | 2.75 | - | 105 | 25/2 |
| 6 | Future Variety | 4 ch. g | 60.0kg | 6 | Mr A Domeyer | 3.5 | - | 116 | 7/1 |
| 7 | Lily Of The Nile | 2 b. f | 57.5kg | 5 | Mr L Mxothwa | 4.75 | - | 67 | 25/1 |
| 8 | Elusive Winter | 4 b. g | 60.0kg | 8 | Mr J P van der Merwe | 5.15 | - | 104 | 10/1 |
| 9 | Jewel Cat | 2 b. c | 60.0kg | 1 | Mr K Matsunyane | 7.4 | - | 91 | 25/1 |
Race Timing
Winning Time
65.37s
Average Time
64.37s
Difference
+%.2fs
Total Pool
R1,085,000
Rating Analysis
| Horse | Pos | MR Before | MR After | Official Δ | Expected Δ | Discrepancy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Distant Winter | 1 | - | 106 | - | + 20 | - |
| October Morn | 2 | - | 119 | - | + 10 | - |
| Blue Holly | 3 | - | 85 | - | + 5 | - |
| Baltic Secret | 4 | - | 98 | - | -8 | - |
| Dumbledore | 5 | - | 105 | - | -10 | - |
| Future Variety | 6 | - | 116 | - | -12 | - |
| Lily Of The Nile | 7 | - | 67 | - | -14 | - |
| Elusive Winter | 8 | - | 104 | - | -16 | - |
| Jewel Cat | 9 | - | 91 | - | -18 | - |
Note: Expected changes are calculated using simplified algorithms.
Official NHRA algorithms from the PDF will provide accurate benchmarking.
Stipes Report
THE STARTER REPORTED: a) BALTIC SECRET (R Fourie) was fractious in the stalls, taken out, examined by the course veterinary surgeon, passed suitable to race and reloaded, causing a delay. b) Fair start. THE STIPENDIARY STEWARDS REPORTED: a) At the finish DUMBLEDORE (C Orffer) had to be steadied when close to the heels of BALTIC SECRET (R Fourie), which raced green and rolled out. b) Jockey K Matsunyane reported that JEWEL CAT, which was hanging out from the 200m, made an abnormal respiratory noise in running. The veterinary surgeon was requested to examine this gelding. c) The saddle on JEWEL CAT (K Matsunyane) slipped back in running. This was confirmed by a Stipendiary Steward. d) In view of the report from the Starter, the veterinary surgeon was requested to examine BALTIC SECRET (R Fourie). e) In view of the report from the starter regarding BALTIC SECRET (R Fourie), this filly's starting stall certificate has been withdrawn and she is suspended for 7 days in terms of Rule 61.6.10 and until such time as she proves to be tractable with a companion. Suspension dates: 11/05/2023 to 17/05/2023 inclusive). BALTIC SECRET may not be presented for re-passing during this period. f) DISTANT WINTER, the winner, was selected for the taking of specimens for analysis. Trainer C Bass-Robinson was advised. (TJ) JOCKEY AND/OR EQUIPMENT CHANGES: a) L Mxothwa rode LILY OF THE NILE (declared 08h53 on 20230510) RACE CARD CHANGES / OTHER a) Nil THE VETERINARY SURGEON REPORTED: a) JEWEL CAT - examined post-race. Abnormal respiratory noise b) BALTIC SECRET - examined post-race. Nothing obvious detected c) LILY OF THE NILE - blood in mouth THERE WERE NO SCRATCHINGS