Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: #THISISRACING WELCOMES YOU MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Forgotten Time
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Charge Down 4 60.0 1 0.00 6.0 66 68 68 +2 2 Forgotten Time 3 60.0 2 1.00 5.0 70 70 70 +0 3 Final Declaration 3 60.0 3 4.00 5.0 - 70 70 +70 4 Alabaster 3 60.0 4 5.30 5.0 69 70 70 +1 5 Portrayal 3 60.0 5 5.40 5.0 75 70 70 -5 6 Mychancetodream 3 57.5 6 6.80 5.0 - 65 65 +65 7 Nazdarovya 3 57.5 7 7.90 5.0 - 65 65 +65 8 Blackburn Jet 3 60.0 8 7.95 5.0 52 70 70 +18 9 Fill Your Boots 3 60.0 9 12.25 5.0 - 70 70 +70 10 Real Churchy 3 60.0 10 12.95 5.0 - 70 70 +70 11 Sardo Numspa 3 60.0 11 16.45 5.0 - 70 70 +70 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charge Down | 66 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Forgotten Time Line | 70 | 76 | 70 | +6 | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Final Declaration | - | 60 | 70 | -10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Alabaster | 69 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Portrayal | 75 | 73 | 70 | +3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Mychancetodream | - | 53 | 65 | -12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Nazdarovya | - | 63 | 65 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Blackburn Jet | 52 | 50 | 70 | -20 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Fill Your Boots | - | 57 | 70 | -13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Real Churchy | - | 50 | 70 | -20 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Sardo Numspa | - | 47 | 70 | -23 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points