Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: TRACK & BALL GAMING FM 72 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Just Virginia
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sing For Winter 2 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 76 71 76 +0 2 Just Virginia 2 56.0 2 1.30 0.0 69 69 69 +0 3 My Cherie Amour 2 60.5 3 1.35 0.0 78 78 78 +0 4 Bay Breeze 3 53.5 4 2.65 2.5 62 58 58 -4 5 Devils And Dust 2 59.0 5 2.70 0.0 75 74 74 -1 6 Two Minds 3 54.5 6 2.75 2.5 66 59 59 -7 7 Reckless Love 4 55.0 7 3.15 1.0 62 63 63 +1 8 You Deserve It 4 57.5 8 4.15 1.0 67 67 67 +0 9 Eye Catching 4 54.5 9 4.55 1.0 61 60 60 -1 10 Top Ten 4 52.0 10 5.65 1.0 55 54 54 -1 11 Rise 5 58.5 11 5.70 0.0 72 69 69 -3 12 American Style 3 56.0 12 10.00 2.5 64 59 59 -5 99 Boogie Shoes 4 61.0 99 0.00 1.0 - 72 72 +0 99 Grandi Orecchie 2 61.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sing For Winter | 76 | 72 | 76 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Just Virginia Line | 69 | 56 | 69 | -13 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | My Cherie Amour | 78 | 75 | 78 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Bay Breeze | 62 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Devils And Dust | 75 | 52 | 74 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Two Minds | 66 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Reckless Love | 62 | 72 | 63 | +9 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | You Deserve It | 67 | 67 | 67 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Eye Catching | 61 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 1.0 | - | |
| 10 | Top Ten | 55 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 11 | Rise | 72 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | American Style | 64 | 60 | 59 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Boogie Shoes | - | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Grandi Orecchie | - | 85 | 75 | +10 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points