Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 73 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Immeasurable
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 San Pedro 5 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 77 71 77 +0 2 Immeasurable 5 60.0 2 2.30 0.0 73 73 73 +0 3 Crested Eagle 3 59.0 3 3.05 1.5 74 68 68 -6 4 Noble Sniper 3 61.0 4 3.55 1.5 75 71 71 -4 5 Winter Waves 7 60.5 5 3.85 0.0 74 73 73 -1 6 White Cedar 6 59.0 6 3.90 0.0 74 70 70 -4 7 Spirit Of My Fate 5 60.0 7 3.95 0.0 73 72 72 -1 8 Gentleman's Way 6 60.5 8 4.10 0.0 74 73 73 -1 9 Maserati Roar 3 58.5 9 4.15 1.5 74 66 66 -8 10 Cupid's Song 4 61.0 10 4.40 0.5 75 72 72 -3 11 Ultimate Jewel 5 59.0 11 6.40 0.0 75 69 69 -6 12 Labrausco 2 59.0 12 7.90 0.0 75 69 69 -6 99 Red Magician 3 57.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 62 62 +0 99 Prosper's Gift 2 54.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 60 60 +0 99 Whorly Whorly 7 57.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Pedro | 77 | 82 | 77 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Immeasurable Line | 73 | 72 | 73 | -1 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Crested Eagle | 74 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Noble Sniper | 75 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Winter Waves | 74 | 77 | 73 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | White Cedar | 74 | 73 | 70 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Spirit Of My Fate | 73 | 70 | 72 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Gentleman's Way | 74 | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Maserati Roar | 74 | 69 | 66 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Cupid's Song | 75 | 79 | 72 | +7 | 0.5 | - | |
| 11 | Ultimate Jewel | 75 | 80 | 69 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Labrausco | 75 | 70 | 69 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Red Magician | - | 49 | 62 | -13 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Prosper's Gift | - | 64 | 60 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Whorly Whorly | - | 78 | 66 | +12 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points