Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: BETONTAB.CO.ZA MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F&M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Primrose Path
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Simply Magic 3 60.0 1 0.00 2.5 68 56 56 -12 2 Law Of Success 3 60.0 2 0.25 2.5 67 56 57 -10 3 Francine 4 57.0 3 3.00 0.0 - 55 55 +55 4 Primrose Path 2 60.0 4 3.50 1.5 58 58 58 +0 5 Duenna 2 57.0 5 8.00 1.5 - 52 52 +52 6 Tamadora 2 57.0 6 15.00 1.5 - 52 52 +52 7 Someday Maybe 3 60.0 7 19.00 2.5 68 56 58 -10 8 Inventrix 2 60.0 8 23.00 1.5 70 58 60 -10 99 Village Green 2 54.5 99 0.00 1.5 - 47 47 +0 99 Mizzen Sail 2 57.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 52 52 +0 99 Sparkling Jubilee 5 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 61 61 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simply Magic | 68 | 67 | 56 | +11 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Law Of Success | 67 | 81 | 57 | +24 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Francine | - | 99 | 55 | +44 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Primrose Path Line | 58 | 77 | 58 | +19 | 1.5 | ||
| 5 | Duenna | - | 94 | 52 | +42 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Tamadora | - | 58 | 52 | +6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Someday Maybe | 68 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Inventrix | 70 | 73 | 60 | +13 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Village Green | - | 81 | 47 | +34 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Mizzen Sail | - | 87 | 52 | +35 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Sparkling Jubilee | - | 76 | 61 | +15 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points