Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 26 MAY FM 66 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
I Like It Hot
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 I Like It Hot 2 61.0 1 0.00 1.5 71 71 71 +0 2 Miss Rose 3 55.0 2 0.75 2.5 54 57 57 +3 3 Quick Count 3 59.0 3 0.85 2.5 64 65 65 +1 4 Ride The Lightning 3 60.0 4 2.10 2.5 66 67 67 +1 5 Hildelita 4 59.5 5 2.60 0.0 84 71 74 -10 6 Aimee's Idol 3 59.0 6 4.60 2.5 67 65 65 -2 7 Babyitscoldoutside 3 57.0 7 4.85 2.5 60 61 61 +1 8 Winter Journey 3 55.5 8 5.10 2.5 57 58 58 +1 9 Feeling Foxy 2 53.5 9 5.60 1.5 56 56 56 +0 10 Fluid Motion 3 55.5 10 5.65 2.5 57 58 58 +1 11 Bouquet 2 58.5 11 5.90 1.5 66 66 66 +0 12 Yaya Maria 2 61.0 12 8.15 1.5 71 71 71 +0 13 Emily's Spirit 2 57.5 13 8.25 1.5 64 64 64 +0 14 Mur Mur 2 59.5 14 99.99 1.5 68 68 68 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I Like It Hot Line | 71 | 76 | 71 | +5 | 1.5 | ||
| 2 | Miss Rose | 54 | 57 | 57 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Quick Count | 64 | 69 | 65 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Ride The Lightning | 66 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Hildelita | 84 | 76 | 74 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Aimee's Idol | 67 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Babyitscoldoutside | 60 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Winter Journey | 57 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Feeling Foxy | 56 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Fluid Motion | 57 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Bouquet | 66 | 63 | 66 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Yaya Maria | 71 | 60 | 71 | -11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 13 | Emily's Spirit | 64 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 14 | Mur Mur | 68 | 68 | 68 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points