Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CLASS 3 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 94)

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Line Horse
Royal Watch
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Montien              3    53.0    1    0.00     2.5   85    76           76    -9
2    Night Ruler          3    56.5    2    2.25     2.5   87    86           86    -1
3    Royal Watch          4    57.0    3    4.25     1.0   88    88           88    +0
4    Promettere           5    55.0    4    4.45     0.0   88    85           85    -3
5    Sudden Song          3    52.0    5    4.95     2.5   77    74           74    -3
6    Selukwe              3    53.0    6    7.20     2.5   85    76           76    -9
7    I Want It All        3    57.0    7    7.95     2.5   88    84           84    -4
8    Pas De Nom           2    58.5    8    11.20    0.0   96    92           92    -4
9    The Futurist         3    60.5    9    17.20    2.5   95    91           91    -4
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Montien 85 122 76 +46 2.5 -
2 Night Ruler 87 75 86 -11 2.5 -
3 Royal Watch Line 88 80 88 -8 1.0
4 Promettere 88 98 85 +13 0.0 -
5 Sudden Song 77 71 74 -3 2.5 -
6 Selukwe 85 115 76 +39 2.5 -
7 I Want It All 88 86 84 +2 2.5 -
8 Pas De Nom 96 91 92 -1 0.0 -
9 The Futurist 95 104 91 +13 2.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points