Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 84 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Sting Ray
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    La Pura Vida         2    56.5    1    0.00     1.5   83    79           83    +0
2    Shipholia            5    58.0    2    3.80     0.0   83    85           85    +2
3    Sting Ray            3    55.0    3    5.50     2.5   74    74           74    +0
4    Pelargonium          3    60.0    4    7.70     2.5   84    84           84    +0
5    Noble Storm          3    54.5    5    9.60     2.5   76    73           73    -3
6    Rafeef's Choice      5    56.0    6    11.90    0.0   79    81           81    +2
7    Captain Ariano       4    52.0    7    13.00    0.0   64    73           73    +9
8    Certainly            2    58.5    8    13.40    1.5   84    83           83    -1
9    Princess Ozma        2    55.5    9    13.70    1.5   78    77           77    -1
10   Harley's Fate        2    54.5    10   14.10    1.5   76    75           75    -1
11   Diamond Girl         4    56.0    11   15.10    0.0   76    81           81    +5
99   Duchess Of Gold      2    52.0    99   0.00     1.5   -     70           70    +0
99   Aga Heat             3    58.0    99   0.00     2.5   -     80           80    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 La Pura Vida 83 77 83 -6 1.5 -
2 Shipholia 83 104 85 +19 0.0 -
3 Sting Ray Line 74 73 74 -1 2.5
4 Pelargonium 84 84 84 ✓ Match 2.5 -
5 Noble Storm 76 78 73 +5 2.5 -
6 Rafeef's Choice 79 71 81 -10 0.0 -
7 Captain Ariano 64 63 73 -10 0.0 -
8 Certainly 84 80 83 -3 1.5 -
9 Princess Ozma 78 66 77 -11 1.5 -
10 Harley's Fate 76 67 75 -8 1.5 -
11 Diamond Girl 76 74 81 -7 0.0 -
99 Duchess Of Gold - 62 70 -8 1.5 -
99 Aga Heat - 74 80 -6 2.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points