Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SUNDAY 30 JANUARY NOVICE HANDICAP (Maidens & 1 time winners)

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Line Horse
Suited Connector
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Florentine           4    58.0    1    0.00     2.5   76    73           70    -6
2    Eagle Strike         3    54.5    2    0.75     5.0   79    65           69    -10
3    Suited Connector     4    60.0    3    1.75     2.5   80    80           80    +0
4    Ice Man Cometh       4    54.0    4    1.85     2.5   68    68           68    +0
5    Flying Grace         4    56.5    5    3.85     2.5   73    71           71    -2
6    Twosidestoastory     3    52.0    6    6.10     5.0   74    56           64    -10
7    Bit Of Fun           4    54.0    7    7.30     2.5   68    65           65    -3
8    Dancing Dora         6    52.0    8    9.30     0.0   69    66           66    -3
9    So They Say          4    55.5    9    11.10    2.5   71    68           68    -3
99   Beyond The Runway    4    55.0    99   0.00     2.5   -     67           67    +0
99   Dawn Of A New Era    4    55.0    99   0.00     2.5   -     67           67    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Florentine 76 86 70 +16 2.5 -
2 Eagle Strike 79 69 69 ✓ Match 5.0 -
3 Suited Connector Line 80 83 80 +3 2.5
4 Ice Man Cometh 68 67 68 -1 2.5 -
5 Flying Grace 73 63 71 -8 2.5 -
6 Twosidestoastory 74 62 64 -2 5.0 -
7 Bit Of Fun 68 53 65 -12 2.5 -
8 Dancing Dora 69 53 66 -13 0.0 -
9 So They Say 71 64 68 -4 2.5 -
99 Beyond The Runway - 60 67 -7 2.5 -
99 Dawn Of A New Era - 78 67 +11 2.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points