Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 01 JUNE FM 76 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Lunar Ballade
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Lady Calavera        4    59.5    1    0.00     0.5   75    75           75    +0
2    Say Yes              2    59.0    2    0.30     0.0   78    80           80    +2
3    Queen Bomi           4    52.5    3    0.55     0.5   61    66           66    +5
4    Lunar Ballade        3    58.0    4    1.65     2.0   72    72           72    +0
5    Radu                 5    59.0    5    2.55     0.0   78    77           77    -1
6    Silver Clock         2    54.0    6    2.80     0.0   68    67           67    -1
7    Princess Kesh        3    60.0    7    3.40     2.0   76    74           74    -2
8    Dark Travel          4    59.0    8    5.40     0.5   74    74           74    +0
9    Dancing Arabian      4    57.0    9    5.50     0.5   70    70           70    +0
10   Petunia              4    52.0    10   5.70     0.5   52    60           60    +8
11   Turn The Page        2    56.0    11   9.20     0.0   72    69           69    -3
12   Chateau Futura       2    53.5    12   9.50     0.0   67    64           64    -3
99   Tried And True       5    57.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     72           72    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Lady Calavera 75 81 75 +6 0.5 -
2 Say Yes 78 90 80 +10 0.0 -
3 Queen Bomi 61 58 66 -8 0.5 -
4 Lunar Ballade Line 72 72 72 ✓ Match 2.0
5 Radu 78 64 77 -13 0.0 -
6 Silver Clock 68 67 67 ✓ Match 0.0 -
7 Princess Kesh 76 77 74 +3 2.0 -
8 Dark Travel 74 72 74 -2 0.5 -
9 Dancing Arabian 70 60 70 -10 0.5 -
10 Petunia 52 47 60 -13 0.5 -
11 Turn The Page 72 64 69 -5 0.0 -
12 Chateau Futura 67 59 64 -5 0.0 -
99 Tried And True - 75 72 +3 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points