Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 65 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Anotherdayinafrica
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Agressivo 3 60.0 1 0.00 2.5 68 63 68 +0 2 Phaka Imali 3 56.0 2 1.50 2.5 57 55 55 -2 3 Prosper's Gift 2 59.0 3 1.55 1.5 66 63 63 -3 4 Anotherdayinafrica 6 54.5 4 1.70 0.0 57 57 57 +0 5 Phinda Mzala 4 59.5 5 2.60 0.0 64 67 67 +3 6 Get Carter 4 54.0 6 2.85 0.0 53 56 56 +3 7 Final Destiny 4 52.5 7 3.25 0.0 50 53 53 +3 8 We All Chomies 5 54.0 8 3.35 0.0 53 56 56 +3 9 Leslies Pathtofame 7 60.0 9 4.35 0.0 65 68 68 +3 10 Moon Harvest 2 56.5 10 4.95 1.5 64 58 58 -6 11 Shifting Path 2 60.0 11 5.10 1.5 68 65 65 -3 12 Geronimo 4 56.5 12 8.10 0.0 58 61 61 +3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Agressivo | 68 | 67 | 68 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Phaka Imali | 57 | 62 | 55 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Prosper's Gift | 66 | 64 | 63 | +1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Anotherdayinafrica Line | 57 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Phinda Mzala | 64 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Get Carter | 53 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Final Destiny | 50 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | We All Chomies | 53 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Leslies Pathtofame | 65 | 63 | 68 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Moon Harvest | 64 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Shifting Path | 68 | 62 | 65 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Geronimo | 58 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points