Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: BOOK A TABLE CALL 0116811796 MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Captain Tik Tok
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Total Surrender 5 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 - 60 6 +6 2 Mayor Of Merrivale 2 60.0 2 1.20 0.0 66 64 64 -2 3 Captain Tik Tok 5 60.0 3 6.00 0.0 60 60 60 +0 4 Rock Of Ages 2 56.0 4 7.75 0.0 - 52 52 +52 5 Pike Place 3 60.0 5 9.25 1.5 - 57 57 +57 6 American Grayson 3 60.0 6 9.30 1.5 - 57 57 +57 7 Kyoshi 3 57.5 7 10.25 1.5 - 52 52 +52 8 Uncle Lucky 2 60.0 8 13.00 0.0 66 60 60 -6 99 Viva De Janeiro 5 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 60 60 +0 99 Turbo Power 3 60.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 57 57 +0 99 Steel Clad 4 60.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 59 59 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Total Surrender | - | 74 | 6 | +68 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Mayor Of Merrivale | 66 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Captain Tik Tok Line | 60 | 72 | 60 | +12 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Rock Of Ages | - | 49 | 52 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Pike Place | - | 57 | 57 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | American Grayson | - | 84 | 57 | +27 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Kyoshi | - | - | 52 | -52 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Uncle Lucky | 66 | 61 | 60 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Viva De Janeiro | - | 50 | 60 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Turbo Power | - | 83 | 57 | +26 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Steel Clad | - | - | 59 | -59 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points