Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: WWW.TAB4RACING.COM MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F&M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Count Your Chances
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sweet Basil 2 56.0 1 0.00 0.0 - 56 6 +6 2 Count Your Chances 5 60.0 2 0.10 0.0 64 64 64 +0 3 Inevitable 2 60.0 3 0.60 0.0 68 69 69 +1 4 Wilkies 2 60.0 4 3.40 0.0 66 65 65 -1 5 Paradise Flower 3 60.0 5 3.50 1.5 58 62 62 +4 6 Green Bubbles 2 60.0 6 4.00 0.0 76 65 66 -10 7 Oriental Odyssey 2 60.0 7 5.50 0.0 61 64 64 +3 8 Summer Of Dreams 2 60.0 8 8.25 0.0 57 64 64 +7 9 Lorna Lilly 3 60.0 9 10.00 1.5 50 61 61 +11 10 Punta Alta 2 60.0 10 16.00 0.0 42 64 64 +22 11 Zakynthos 3 57.5 11 22.00 1.5 - 56 56 +56 12 Linda's Legacy 3 60.0 12 99.99 1.5 - 61 61 +61 99 United We Stand 3 60.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 61 61 +0 99 Shivas Spirit 3 60.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 61 61 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweet Basil | - | 81 | 6 | +75 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Count Your Chances Line | 64 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Inevitable | 68 | 74 | 69 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Wilkies | 66 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Paradise Flower | 58 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Green Bubbles | 76 | 66 | 66 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Oriental Odyssey | 61 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Summer Of Dreams | 57 | 65 | 64 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Lorna Lilly | 50 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Punta Alta | 42 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Zakynthos | - | 35 | 56 | -21 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Linda's Legacy | - | 25 | 61 | -36 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | United We Stand | - | 50 | 61 | -11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Shivas Spirit | - | 36 | 61 | -25 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points