Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: 4RACING.TV MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Cerulean Dancer
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Funky Music          4    56.5    1    0.00     0.5   61    62           61    +0
2    Waqaas (AUS)         6    61.0    2    0.60     0.0   70    77           77    +7
3    Cerulean Dancer      2    53.5    3    2.50     0.0   59    59           59    +0
4    Gregor Macgregor     4    54.5    4    3.75     0.5   57    59           59    +2
5    Oyster King          5    57.5    5    4.00     0.0   63    66           66    +3
6    Maboneng             3    56.0    6    6.00     2.0   60    58           58    -2
7    Spring Will Come     3    60.5    7    7.00     2.0   69    67           67    -2
8    Skyfull              2    56.5    8    7.75     0.0   65    63           63    -2
9    Splendid Season      2    55.5    9    11.00    0.0   63    61           61    -2
10   Follow My Path       5    56.0    10   14.00    0.0   60    62           62    +2
11   Super Secret         2    52.0    11   14.25    0.0   56    54           54    -2
12   Fasinada             4    54.0    12   19.50    0.5   56    57           57    +1
13   Ballon D'or          5    56.5    13   21.50    0.0   61    63           63    +2
14   Irontail             4    60.0    14   25.00    0.5   68    69           69    +1
15   Pacific Express      2    54.5    15   26.00    0.0   66    59           59    -7
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Funky Music 61 83 61 +22 0.5 -
2 Waqaas (AUS) 70 56 77 -21 0.0 -
3 Cerulean Dancer Line 59 71 59 +12 0.0
4 Gregor Macgregor 57 63 59 +4 0.5 -
5 Oyster King 63 50 66 -16 0.0 -
6 Maboneng 60 67 58 +9 2.0 -
7 Spring Will Come 69 72 67 +5 2.0 -
8 Skyfull 65 54 63 -9 0.0 -
9 Splendid Season 63 50 61 -11 0.0 -
10 Follow My Path 60 54 62 -8 0.0 -
11 Super Secret 56 50 54 -4 0.0 -
12 Fasinada 56 52 57 -5 0.5 -
13 Ballon D'or 61 61 63 -2 0.0 -
14 Irontail 68 64 69 -5 0.5 -
15 Pacific Express 66 59 59 ✓ Match 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points