Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (For 2 yo R100 000 Win BSA Bonus Series)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Empire Blue 4 60.0 1 0.00 0.5 - - - +0 2 Public Benefit 2 57.0 2 0.05 0.0 - - - +0 3 Renowned 2 60.0 3 3.30 0.0 - - - +0 4 Manchester Fighter 2 60.0 4 4.55 0.0 - - - +0 5 Pisces 2 60.0 5 5.30 0.0 - - - +0 6 Royal Statesman 2 60.0 6 5.80 0.0 - - - +0 7 Good Reason 2 57.0 7 8.30 0.0 - - - +0 8 Fearless Badger 4 60.0 8 11.55 0.5 - - - +0 9 Piper Of Hamelin 2 60.0 9 14.05 0.0 - - - +0 10 And It's Over 2 60.0 10 14.55 0.0 - - - +0 11 Smart Master 2 60.0 11 15.05 0.0 - - - +0 12 Regazzo Grande 2 60.0 12 17.30 0.0 - - - +0 13 Mantis King 2 60.0 13 31.80 0.0 - - - +0 99 Stealing The Moon 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - - - +0 99 The Charioteer 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - - - +0 99 Military Man 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Empire Blue | - | 71 | - | +71 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Public Benefit | - | 86 | - | +86 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Renowned | - | 55 | - | +55 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Manchester Fighter | - | 66 | - | +66 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Pisces | - | 56 | - | +56 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Royal Statesman | - | 54 | - | +54 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Good Reason | - | - | - | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Fearless Badger | - | 58 | - | +58 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | Piper Of Hamelin | - | 55 | - | +55 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | And It's Over | - | 38 | - | +38 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Smart Master | - | 63 | - | +63 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Regazzo Grande | - | 72 | - | +72 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Mantis King | - | - | - | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Stealing The Moon | - | 50 | - | - | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | The Charioteer | - | 71 | - | - | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Military Man | - | 65 | - | - | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points