Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: GOLD CIRCLE RACING YOUTUBE CHANNEL MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Mister Lincoln
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Servilius 3 60.0 1 0.00 2.5 62 68 68 +6 2 Paris Rain 3 60.0 2 0.25 2.5 78 68 68 -10 3 Zabadak 2 58.5 3 0.50 1.5 68 67 67 -1 4 Raf's Rocket 2 57.0 4 0.55 1.5 - 64 64 +64 5 Mister Lincoln 3 60.0 5 2.85 2.5 68 68 68 +0 6 Divine Power 3 56.0 6 9.75 2.5 - 60 60 +60 7 Equity Share 2 57.0 7 14.35 1.5 - 64 64 +64 8 Just Jay 2 57.0 8 17.25 1.5 - 64 64 +64 99 One Irish Rover 5 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Servilius | 62 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Paris Rain | 78 | 70 | 68 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Zabadak | 68 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Raf's Rocket | - | 77 | 64 | +13 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Mister Lincoln Line | 68 | 57 | 68 | -11 | 2.5 | ||
| 6 | Divine Power | - | 41 | 60 | -19 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Equity Share | - | 48 | 64 | -16 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Just Jay | - | - | 64 | -64 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | One Irish Rover | - | 65 | 73 | -8 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points