Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: DAILY NEWS SUBSCRIPTIONS FM 74 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Dancing Dora
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Shanta's Pride 3 59.5 1 0.00 2.5 76 68 76 +0 2 Cinnamon Blush 3 55.0 2 0.25 2.5 64 59 59 -5 3 Double Dream 3 56.5 3 0.55 2.5 67 62 62 -5 4 Dancing Dora 6 60.0 4 1.15 0.0 74 74 74 +0 5 Imbewu 3 58.0 5 1.95 2.5 73 65 65 -8 6 Poursomesugaronme 5 57.5 6 3.15 0.0 72 69 69 -3 7 Kingsmeads Krystl 3 56.5 7 3.55 2.5 70 62 62 -8 8 Fort J'adore 3 55.5 8 4.25 2.5 68 60 60 -8 9 Mystic Angel 2 54.5 9 5.35 1.5 66 60 60 -6 10 Ashanti Sword 2 59.0 10 6.05 1.5 75 69 69 -6 11 Palm Breeze 3 58.0 11 6.10 2.5 73 65 65 -8 12 Maquette 3 59.5 12 6.50 2.5 73 68 68 -5 13 Rattle Bag 6 59.0 13 7.00 0.0 72 72 72 +0 14 Fortune Bay 3 57.5 14 13.00 2.5 72 64 64 -8 99 Pantea 3 54.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 58 58 +0 99 Shell Seeker 3 53.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 56 56 +0 99 Forged In Ice 3 53.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 56 56 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanta's Pride | 76 | 88 | 76 | +12 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Cinnamon Blush | 64 | 66 | 59 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Double Dream | 67 | 71 | 62 | +9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Dancing Dora Line | 74 | 53 | 74 | -21 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Imbewu | 73 | 72 | 65 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Poursomesugaronme | 72 | 77 | 69 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Kingsmeads Krystl | 70 | 68 | 62 | +6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Fort J'adore | 68 | 67 | 60 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Mystic Angel | 66 | 69 | 60 | +9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Ashanti Sword | 75 | 52 | 69 | -17 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Palm Breeze | 73 | 66 | 65 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Maquette | 73 | 91 | 68 | +23 | 2.5 | - | |
| 13 | Rattle Bag | 72 | 71 | 72 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Fortune Bay | 72 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Pantea | - | 57 | 58 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Shell Seeker | - | 62 | 56 | +6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Forged In Ice | - | 57 | 56 | +1 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points