Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 84 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Rodriguez
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Captain Rocket       3    53.5    1    0.00     2.5   75    63           75    +0
2    Shavout              4    57.0    2    1.20     1.0   78    77           77    -1
3    Rodriguez            6    52.0    3    1.90     0.0   68    68           68    +0
4    Aerial Display       5    56.5    4    2.90     0.0   82    76           76    -6
5    Mr Pigalle           4    58.5    5    3.20     1.0   81    78           78    -3
6    Dowser               5    60.5    6    4.40     0.0   90    82           82    -8
7    Straight Up          5    54.5    7    5.10     0.0   81    70           71    -10
8    Fight Song           4    60.0    8    5.70     1.0   87    79           79    -8
9    Love Bomb            4    57.5    9    6.10     1.0   82    74           74    -8
10   Cherokee Trail       2    58.0    10   7.00     0.0   85    77           77    -8
11   Oh So Squishy        3    58.5    11   10.70    2.5   81    73           73    -8
99   Sequoia              6    57.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     76           76    +0
99   Tom's Act            3    52.0    99   0.00     2.5   -     60           60    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Captain Rocket 75 82 75 +7 2.5 -
2 Shavout 78 70 77 -7 1.0 -
3 Rodriguez Line 68 69 68 +1 0.0
4 Aerial Display 82 68 76 -8 0.0 -
5 Mr Pigalle 81 68 78 -10 1.0 -
6 Dowser 90 84 82 +2 0.0 -
7 Straight Up 81 79 71 +8 0.0 -
8 Fight Song 87 94 79 +15 1.0 -
9 Love Bomb 82 77 74 +3 1.0 -
10 Cherokee Trail 85 86 77 +9 0.0 -
11 Oh So Squishy 81 68 73 -5 2.5 -
99 Sequoia - 99 76 +23 0.0 -
99 Tom's Act - 64 60 +4 2.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points