Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 73 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Bernie's Dream
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Justaguything 5 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 70 79 70 +0 2 Dispicable 6 56.5 2 1.20 0.0 69 78 78 +9 3 Bernie's Dream 4 61.0 3 1.45 6.0 75 75 75 +0 4 Cape Eagle 7 59.5 4 1.75 0.0 72 84 84 +12 5 Irontail 4 60.5 5 3.75 6.0 74 74 74 +0 6 Two Of Us 6 59.5 6 3.90 0.0 72 84 84 +12 7 Purple Powahouse 8 60.0 7 5.10 0.0 73 85 85 +12 8 Knight Warrior 5 58.0 8 5.60 0.0 69 81 81 +12 9 Brazil Nut 4 59.5 9 6.35 6.0 72 72 72 +0 10 Trafalgar Square 6 57.5 10 12.25 0.0 75 80 80 +5 11 Putins Promise 5 59.5 11 14.85 0.0 72 84 84 +12 99 Parktown 5 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 85 85 +0 99 Leslies Pathtofame 7 57.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 79 79 +0 99 Gimme A Rainbow 4 58.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 69 69 +0 99 Count Marsh 7 58.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 82 82 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justaguything | 70 | 87 | 70 | +17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Dispicable | 69 | 56 | 78 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Bernie's Dream Line | 75 | 69 | 75 | -6 | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Cape Eagle | 72 | 106 | 84 | +22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Irontail | 74 | 64 | 74 | -10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Two Of Us | 72 | 67 | 84 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Purple Powahouse | 73 | 55 | 85 | -30 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Knight Warrior | 69 | 74 | 81 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Brazil Nut | 72 | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Trafalgar Square | 75 | 69 | 80 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Putins Promise | 72 | 73 | 84 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Parktown | - | 69 | 85 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Leslies Pathtofame | - | 63 | 79 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Gimme A Rainbow | - | 74 | 69 | +5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Count Marsh | - | 52 | 82 | -30 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points