Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SUNDAY 11 JUNE FM 88 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Red Maple
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Southern Song 4 57.5 1 0.00 1.0 83 86 83 +0 2 Red Maple 3 60.0 2 3.25 2.0 92 92 92 +0 3 Princess Kesh 3 52.5 3 4.00 2.0 73 76 76 +3 4 Opera Glass 4 59.0 4 5.00 1.0 86 89 89 +3 5 Quiet Rebellion 3 54.0 5 6.25 2.0 76 77 77 +1 6 Say Yes 2 54.5 6 8.25 0.0 80 82 82 +2 7 Flying First Class 4 59.5 7 8.75 1.0 87 90 90 +3 8 Allthewayfromusa 2 52.0 8 10.00 0.0 67 77 77 +10 9 Trump My Queen 3 51.0 9 10.50 2.0 75 71 71 -4 10 Pashasha 3 52.0 10 11.75 2.0 69 73 73 +4 99 Kind Judy 4 56.5 99 0.00 1.0 - 84 84 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern Song | 83 | 90 | 83 | +7 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Red Maple Line | 92 | 107 | 92 | +15 | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Princess Kesh | 73 | 77 | 76 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Opera Glass | 86 | 81 | 89 | -8 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Quiet Rebellion | 76 | 74 | 77 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Say Yes | 80 | 90 | 82 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Flying First Class | 87 | 82 | 90 | -8 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Allthewayfromusa | 67 | 57 | 77 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Trump My Queen | 75 | 64 | 71 | -7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Pashasha | 69 | 57 | 73 | -16 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Kind Judy | - | 73 | 84 | -11 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points