Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 9 JUNE MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
On The Road Again
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 19
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 19
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
14 / 19
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Great Melody 3 56.0 1 0.00 2.0 66 66 66 +0 2 Cool Winter 2 61.5 2 1.25 1.0 79 79 79 +0 3 On The Road Again 3 59.0 3 2.00 2.0 72 72 72 +0 4 Pomodoro Magic 5 57.5 4 3.75 0.0 71 73 73 +2 5 Coastal Path 5 59.0 5 4.00 0.0 74 76 76 +2 6 Absolu Noir 8 52.5 6 4.05 0.0 56 63 63 +7 7 Psychedelic Eric 3 52.0 7 4.55 2.0 56 58 58 +2 8 Persica 5 52.5 8 5.30 0.0 62 63 63 +1 9 War Launch 2 57.0 9 6.55 1.0 85 70 75 -10 10 Notorix 6 59.0 10 7.05 0.0 72 76 76 +4 11 Watch Tower 2 55.5 11 7.80 1.0 82 67 72 -10 12 Emerald Flame 5 52.0 12 15.80 0.0 54 62 62 +8 99 Roger The Dodger 5 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 62 62 +0 99 Moonstrike 3 52.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 58 58 +0 99 Arverni Warrior 3 57.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 68 68 +0 99 Bethel 6 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 74 74 +0 99 Joyous Jubilee (AUS 2 52.5 99 0.00 1.0 - 61 61 +0 99 Kuznetsov 2 59.5 99 0.00 1.0 - 75 75 +0 99 First Origin 2 59.0 99 0.00 1.0 - 74 74 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Great Melody | 66 | 79 | 66 | +13 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Cool Winter | 79 | 78 | 79 | -1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | On The Road Again Line | 72 | 79 | 72 | +7 | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | Pomodoro Magic | 71 | 53 | 73 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Coastal Path | 74 | 77 | 76 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Absolu Noir | 56 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Psychedelic Eric | 56 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Persica | 62 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | War Launch | 85 | 50 | 75 | -25 | 1.0 | - | |
| 10 | Notorix | 72 | 68 | 76 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Watch Tower | 82 | 68 | 72 | -4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 12 | Emerald Flame | 54 | 35 | 62 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Roger The Dodger | - | 51 | 62 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Moonstrike | - | 50 | 58 | -8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Arverni Warrior | - | 61 | 68 | -7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Bethel | - | 76 | 74 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Joyous Jubilee (AUS) | - | 61 | 61 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Kuznetsov | - | 61 | 75 | -14 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | First Origin | - | 91 | 74 | +17 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points