Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies & Mares)

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Line Horse
Trip To Nebraska
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Dual Agent           2    56.0    1    0.00     0.0   -     57           6     +6
2    African Beat         4    56.0    2    0.05     0.5   -     56           56    +56
3    Trip To Nebraska     2    60.0    3    5.65     0.0   65    65           65    +0
4    Sacred Lily          6    58.5    4    5.70     0.0   53    62           62    +9
5    Sky Velocity         5    60.0    5    5.80     0.0   68    65           65    -3
6    Madame Zee           3    60.0    6    8.50     1.5   57    62           62    +5
7    Vermacilli           3    60.0    7    9.60     1.5   68    62           62    -6
8    Three Little Birds   2    56.0    8    11.10    0.0   -     57           57    +57
9    Rosy Future          4    60.0    9    11.15    0.5   -     64           64    +64
10   Whatsupbuttacup      3    60.0    10   13.15    1.5   -     62           62    +62
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Dual Agent - 69 6 +63 0.0 -
2 African Beat - 91 56 +35 0.5 -
3 Trip To Nebraska Line 65 55 65 -10 0.0
4 Sacred Lily 53 52 62 -10 0.0 -
5 Sky Velocity 68 57 65 -8 0.0 -
6 Madame Zee 57 69 62 +7 1.5 -
7 Vermacilli 68 54 62 -8 1.5 -
8 Three Little Birds - 68 57 +11 0.0 -
9 Rosy Future - 55 64 -9 0.5 -
10 Whatsupbuttacup - 65 62 +3 1.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points