Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: WWW.SOCCER6.CO.ZA MR 75 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Samoa
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 After Hours 7 54.5 1 0.00 0.0 64 64 64 +0 2 Second Breath 2 61.0 2 0.30 1.0 79 75 75 -4 3 Fort Lauderdale 2 56.0 3 1.50 1.0 74 65 65 -9 4 Samoa 10 58.0 4 1.75 0.0 71 71 71 +0 5 Coming In Hot 3 57.0 5 2.80 2.0 69 65 65 -4 6 Fish Eagle 5 58.5 6 3.00 0.0 74 72 72 -2 7 Samthewiseman 5 52.0 7 3.50 0.0 61 59 59 -2 8 Ramchandani Road 5 57.5 8 4.50 0.0 70 70 70 +0 9 Timbavati River 3 1.0 9 4.75 2.0 58 -47 48 -10 10 Space Race 4 52.5 10 4.80 2.5 60 55 55 -5 11 Power Ranger 7 52.0 11 5.80 0.0 57 59 59 +2 12 Irontail 4 56.5 12 5.85 2.5 68 63 63 -5 13 Double Magic 3 60.0 13 6.75 2.0 75 71 71 -4 14 Blue Waters 2 59.5 14 7.25 1.0 76 72 72 -4 99 Silent War 3 60.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 71 71 +0 99 Gimme Royalty 3 52.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 55 55 +0 99 Mescal 2 59.0 99 0.00 1.0 - 71 71 +0 99 San Marzano 3 57.5 99 0.00 2.0 - 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | After Hours | 64 | 79 | 64 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Second Breath | 79 | 79 | 75 | +4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | Fort Lauderdale | 74 | 85 | 65 | +20 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Samoa Line | 71 | 64 | 71 | -7 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Coming In Hot | 69 | 76 | 65 | +11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Fish Eagle | 74 | 71 | 72 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Samthewiseman | 61 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Ramchandani Road | 70 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Timbavati River | 58 | 79 | 48 | +31 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Space Race | 60 | 57 | 55 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Power Ranger | 57 | 69 | 59 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Irontail | 68 | 64 | 63 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 13 | Double Magic | 75 | 72 | 71 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 14 | Blue Waters | 76 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Silent War | - | 91 | 71 | +20 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Gimme Royalty | - | 49 | 55 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mescal | - | 64 | 71 | -7 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | San Marzano | - | 53 | 66 | -13 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points