Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RACING 240 MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Roger The Dodger
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Letsdoit 3 57.0 1 0.00 4.0 69 48 69 +0 2 Roger The Dodger 5 57.0 2 0.75 0.0 60 60 60 +0 3 Brooklyn Bridge 4 57.0 3 0.90 2.5 60 55 55 -5 4 Tambora 5 61.5 4 0.95 0.0 69 69 69 +0 5 Track Commander 4 59.0 5 1.10 2.5 64 59 59 -5 6 Cherokee Chief 5 48.0 6 1.25 0.0 46 42 42 -4 7 Evening Rise 5 59.5 7 2.00 0.0 65 64 64 -1 8 Gilda Gray 3 58.5 8 2.50 4.0 72 53 62 -10 9 Zulu War Cry 4 53.0 9 3.00 2.5 52 45 45 -7 10 Cocoa Hill 3 52.0 10 3.50 4.0 59 39 49 -10 11 Invincible Wall 3 60.0 11 11.75 4.0 75 54 65 -10 12 Miss Venezuela 4 59.0 12 15.00 2.5 64 55 55 -9 99 Grindelwald 6 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 62 62 +0 99 Tiki Taka 6 55.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 52 52 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Letsdoit | 69 | 72 | 69 | +3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Roger The Dodger Line | 60 | 51 | 60 | -9 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Brooklyn Bridge | 60 | 60 | 55 | +5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Tambora | 69 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Track Commander | 64 | 66 | 59 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Cherokee Chief | 46 | 49 | 42 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Evening Rise | 65 | 54 | 64 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Gilda Gray | 72 | 64 | 62 | +2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Zulu War Cry | 52 | 53 | 45 | +8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Cocoa Hill | 59 | 63 | 49 | +14 | 4.0 | - | |
| 11 | Invincible Wall | 75 | 70 | 65 | +5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 12 | Miss Venezuela | 64 | 63 | 55 | +8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Grindelwald | - | 70 | 62 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Tiki Taka | - | 48 | 52 | -4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points