Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 3 FEBRUARY MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Master Of Coin
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Astrocyte 3 59.0 1 0.00 6.0 67 69 69 +2 2 Master Of Coin 3 59.0 2 2.25 6.0 72 72 72 +0 3 King Arthur 3 59.0 3 3.75 6.0 76 70 70 -6 4 Dj Junior 3 59.0 4 5.75 6.0 - 69 69 +69 5 My True North 4 60.0 5 6.00 3.0 61 77 77 +16 6 Arlington Action 6 59.0 6 8.25 0.0 73 81 81 +8 7 Just A Memory 3 59.0 7 9.00 6.0 71 69 69 -2 8 Gold Ambition 3 59.0 8 10.75 6.0 64 69 69 +5 9 Rishaan's Boy 3 59.0 9 11.75 6.0 61 69 69 +8 10 Lincoln County 3 59.0 10 14.75 6.0 - 69 69 +69 11 Sky Runner 3 59.0 11 17.25 6.0 55 69 69 +14 12 Movelikejackson 3 59.0 12 20.00 6.0 54 69 69 +15 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Astrocyte | 67 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Master Of Coin Line | 72 | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | ||
| 3 | King Arthur | 76 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Dj Junior | - | 79 | 69 | +10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | My True North | 61 | 61 | 77 | -16 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Arlington Action | 73 | 73 | 81 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Just A Memory | 71 | 67 | 69 | -2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Gold Ambition | 64 | 61 | 69 | -8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Rishaan's Boy | 61 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Lincoln County | - | 41 | 69 | -28 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Sky Runner | 55 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 6.0 | - | |
| 12 | Movelikejackson | 54 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points