Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SUNDAY 18 JUNE FM 71 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Angel's Wish
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ballroom Bliss 4 60.0 1 0.00 1.0 71 66 71 +0 2 Angel's Wish 6 59.5 2 3.50 0.0 70 70 70 +0 3 Barmaid 2 49.5 3 6.25 0.0 59 47 49 -10 4 Island Beauty 3 58.0 4 6.50 2.0 67 60 60 -7 5 Spirit Princess 2 57.5 5 6.70 0.0 70 63 63 -7 6 A Place In The Sun 5 54.5 6 7.25 0.0 64 57 57 -7 7 Go Dream Machine 3 52.5 7 9.50 2.0 56 49 49 -7 8 Miss Christmas 3 54.5 8 12.00 2.0 64 53 54 -10 9 Keep The Fort 3 60.0 9 12.25 2.0 75 64 65 -10 10 Allthewayfromusa 2 55.0 10 14.25 0.0 65 58 58 -7 11 Pacific Express 2 54.0 11 18.75 0.0 63 56 56 -7 12 Petunia 4 52.0 12 19.50 1.0 52 50 50 -2 13 Chateau Futura 2 56.0 13 20.50 0.0 67 60 60 -7 14 Super Secret 2 52.0 14 22.00 0.0 53 52 52 -1 15 Wild Forever 3 57.5 15 99.99 2.0 70 59 60 -10 16 Have A Party 3 55.0 16 99.99 2.0 65 54 55 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballroom Bliss | 71 | 84 | 71 | +13 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Angel's Wish Line | 70 | 54 | 70 | -16 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Barmaid | 59 | 55 | 49 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Island Beauty | 67 | 63 | 60 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Spirit Princess | 70 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | A Place In The Sun | 64 | 74 | 57 | +17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Go Dream Machine | 56 | 52 | 49 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Miss Christmas | 64 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Keep The Fort | 75 | 66 | 65 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Allthewayfromusa | 65 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Pacific Express | 63 | 59 | 56 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Petunia | 52 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 13 | Chateau Futura | 67 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Super Secret | 53 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | Wild Forever | 70 | 70 | 60 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 16 | Have A Party | 65 | 64 | 55 | +9 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points