Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (For 2 year olds)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Manchester Fighter 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 - - - +0 2 Bridgerton 2 60.0 2 0.10 0.0 - - - +0 3 Pisces 2 60.0 3 0.20 0.0 - - - +0 4 Swiftwinged 2 57.5 4 0.45 0.0 - - - +0 5 Excalibur 2 60.0 5 2.20 0.0 - - - +0 6 Lord Milori 2 60.0 6 4.95 0.0 - - - +0 7 Follow The Band 2 60.0 7 5.70 0.0 - - - +0 8 Sound Of Hooves 2 60.0 8 23.95 0.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester Fighter | - | 66 | - | +66 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Bridgerton | - | 67 | - | +67 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Pisces | - | 56 | - | +56 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Swiftwinged | - | 62 | - | +62 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Excalibur | - | 65 | - | +65 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lord Milori | - | 64 | - | +64 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Follow The Band | - | 53 | - | +53 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Sound Of Hooves | - | 20 | - | +20 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points