Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: LAKESIDE HANDICAP (Open - Non-Black Type)
Line Horse
Flower Of Saigon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Follow The Star 5 54.5 1 0.00 0.0 85 88 85 +0 2 Flower Of Saigon 4 55.5 2 1.25 3.5 88 88 88 +0 3 Sunday Island (AUS) 3 52.0 3 6.50 7.0 80 69 70 -10 4 Great Warrior 5 52.0 4 10.50 0.0 80 83 83 +3 5 Cairon 5 53.5 5 10.60 0.0 83 86 86 +3 6 Jacob's Ladder 4 52.5 6 13.85 3.5 83 77 77 -6 7 Miss Orange 5 60.0 7 28.85 0.0 96 99 99 +3 8 Rattle Mouse 5 59.0 8 32.85 0.0 94 97 97 +3 9 Master Supreme 5 60.5 9 33.35 0.0 97 100 100 +3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Follow The Star | 85 | 86 | 85 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Flower Of Saigon Line | 88 | 102 | 88 | +14 | 3.5 | ||
| 3 | Sunday Island (AUS) | 80 | 86 | 70 | +16 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Great Warrior | 80 | 78 | 83 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Cairon | 83 | 73 | 86 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Jacob's Ladder | 83 | 73 | 77 | -4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Miss Orange | 96 | 86 | 99 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Rattle Mouse | 94 | 85 | 97 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Master Supreme | 97 | 87 | 100 | -13 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points