Official NHA Assessment

Race 4: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)

Back to Race
Line Horse
Bayview Express
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    National Dream       6    55.5    1    0.00     0.0   59    56           59    +0
2    Bayview Express      5    59.0    2    2.90     0.0   66    66           66    +0
3    Afropolitan          6    60.5    3    2.95     0.0   69    69           69    +0
4    Riccardo             7    59.5    4    3.20     0.0   67    67           67    +0
5    Absolute Value       3    59.5    5    4.70     2.0   67    61           61    -6
6    Flying Grace         4    58.5    6    6.00     1.0   65    60           60    -5
7    Arrow's Mark         6    53.5    7    6.40     0.0   55    52           52    -3
8    Porfirio             6    55.0    8    6.50     0.0   58    55           55    -3
9    Vengeance Forever    3    55.5    9    6.90     2.0   59    52           52    -7
10   Twice As Perfect     3    51.5    10   7.40     2.0   58    44           48    -10
11   Ebony Bay            3    53.5    11   9.80     2.0   62    48           52    -10
12   Forward Spell        3    58.0    12   99.99    2.0   64    57           57    -7
99   Fine Admiral         3    61.0    99   0.00     2.0   -     63           63    +0
99   Temperate Zone       2    61.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     67           67    +0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 National Dream 59 68 59 +9 0.0 -
2 Bayview Express Line 66 62 66 -4 0.0
3 Afropolitan 69 84 69 +15 0.0 -
4 Riccardo 67 68 67 +1 0.0 -
5 Absolute Value 67 84 61 +23 2.0 -
6 Flying Grace 65 63 60 +3 1.0 -
7 Arrow's Mark 55 54 52 +2 0.0 -
8 Porfirio 58 88 55 +33 0.0 -
9 Vengeance Forever 59 51 52 -1 2.0 -
10 Twice As Perfect 58 54 48 +6 2.0 -
11 Ebony Bay 62 50 52 -2 2.0 -
12 Forward Spell 64 64 57 +7 2.0 -
99 Fine Admiral - 73 63 +10 2.0 -
99 Temperate Zone - 74 67 +7 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points