Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 84 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Caesura
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Sequoia              6    57.5    1    0.00     0.0   79    79           79    +0
2    Captain Rocket       3    56.0    2    0.05     2.0   80    72           72    -8
3    Caesura              6    55.0    3    1.35     0.0   77    77           77    +0
4    Wave Warrior         3    54.5    4    2.05     2.0   73    72           72    -1
5    Syx Hotfix           3    59.0    5    2.30     2.0   82    80           80    -2
6    Dowser               5    60.0    6    2.50     0.0   88    86           86    -2
7    Twin Turbo           4    60.0    7    2.80     1.0   87    84           84    -3
8    Super Silver         3    60.5    8    4.20     2.0   85    82           82    -3
9    Diani                5    60.0    9    5.50     0.0   88    84           84    -4
10   Mr Pigalle           4    58.0    10   6.40     1.0   80    78           78    -2
11   Monarchy             5    58.5    11   7.80     0.0   81    81           81    +0
12   Gold Index           3    57.0    12   8.90     2.0   82    74           74    -8
99   Radicchio            5    54.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     72           72    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Sequoia 79 99 79 +20 0.0 -
2 Captain Rocket 80 82 72 +10 2.0 -
3 Caesura Line 77 81 77 +4 0.0
4 Wave Warrior 73 68 72 -4 2.0 -
5 Syx Hotfix 82 83 80 +3 2.0 -
6 Dowser 88 84 86 -2 0.0 -
7 Twin Turbo 87 88 84 +4 1.0 -
8 Super Silver 85 82 82 ✓ Match 2.0 -
9 Diani 88 96 84 +12 0.0 -
10 Mr Pigalle 80 68 78 -10 1.0 -
11 Monarchy 81 77 81 -4 0.0 -
12 Gold Index 82 53 74 -21 2.0 -
99 Radicchio - 100 72 +28 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points