Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 65 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Purple Powahouse
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Preemptive Strike 4 60.0 1 0.00 2.5 65 60 65 +0 2 Phaka Imali 3 56.5 2 0.15 2.0 58 54 54 -4 3 Purple Powahouse 8 59.5 3 1.20 0.0 64 64 64 +0 4 Impartial 4 53.0 4 3.00 2.5 51 46 46 -5 5 We All Chomies 5 52.5 5 3.25 0.0 50 50 50 +0 6 High Velocity 4 59.0 6 3.55 2.5 66 58 58 -8 7 Twosidestoastory 3 59.0 7 3.60 2.0 63 59 59 -4 8 Stevie Gee 5 58.5 8 3.65 0.0 64 62 62 -2 9 Leslies Pathtofame 7 59.0 9 4.65 0.0 63 63 63 +0 10 Grey Ocean 4 58.5 10 5.05 2.5 62 57 57 -5 11 Feather The Nest 4 55.5 11 5.85 2.5 56 51 51 -5 12 Red Mahogany 3 59.5 12 12.45 2.0 64 60 60 -4 99 Lord Edward 2 57.0 99 0.00 1.0 - 57 57 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Preemptive Strike | 65 | 70 | 65 | +5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Phaka Imali | 58 | 62 | 54 | +8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Purple Powahouse Line | 64 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Impartial | 51 | 50 | 46 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | We All Chomies | 50 | 54 | 50 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | High Velocity | 66 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Twosidestoastory | 63 | 62 | 59 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Stevie Gee | 64 | 65 | 62 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Leslies Pathtofame | 63 | 63 | 63 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Grey Ocean | 62 | 61 | 57 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Feather The Nest | 56 | 54 | 51 | +3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Red Mahogany | 64 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Lord Edward | - | 52 | 57 | -5 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points