Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: 4RACING THANKS & APPRECIATES LUCKY HOUDALAKIS MR 81 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Jet Dynasty
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Total Surrender 5 55.0 1 0.00 0.0 75 76 75 +0 2 Banha Bridge 5 56.5 2 2.20 0.0 74 84 84 +10 3 Jet Dynasty 3 60.0 3 2.90 2.0 85 85 85 +0 4 Battleground 5 56.5 4 4.70 0.0 78 80 80 +2 5 Silvano's Song 3 55.5 5 4.90 2.0 76 73 73 -3 6 Coromandel 4 52.0 6 5.40 1.0 52 68 68 +16 7 Dungeons 2 55.5 7 5.70 0.0 76 77 77 +1 8 Ryan's Dream 3 57.0 8 5.95 2.0 79 76 76 -3 9 Every Cloud 3 55.0 9 6.20 2.0 80 72 72 -8 10 Youcanthurrylove 5 59.0 10 7.70 0.0 79 84 84 +5 99 Castle Corner 4 56.5 99 0.00 1.0 - 77 77 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Total Surrender | 75 | 74 | 75 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Banha Bridge | 74 | 70 | 84 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Jet Dynasty Line | 85 | 82 | 85 | -3 | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | Battleground | 78 | 92 | 80 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Silvano's Song | 76 | 74 | 73 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Coromandel | 52 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Dungeons | 76 | 73 | 77 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Ryan's Dream | 79 | 65 | 76 | -11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Every Cloud | 80 | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Youcanthurrylove | 79 | 86 | 84 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Castle Corner | - | 72 | 77 | -5 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points