Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 30 JUNE MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Ygritte
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Warbonnet Creek (IR 4 55.0 1 0.00 2.5 57 57 57 +0 2 Great Melody 3 61.5 2 0.75 2.0 71 71 71 +0 3 Ygritte 2 60.0 3 1.00 1.0 70 70 70 +0 4 Notorix 6 61.5 4 1.10 0.0 71 75 75 +4 5 Flying Peter 4 56.5 5 1.35 2.5 61 60 60 -1 6 Miss Rose 3 55.5 6 2.35 2.0 58 59 59 +1 7 Granddaddy Purple 3 52.0 7 2.85 2.0 52 52 52 +0 8 Persica 5 55.5 8 4.10 0.0 59 63 63 +4 9 Psychedelic Eric 3 54.0 9 4.85 2.0 56 56 56 +0 10 Modern Magician 3 58.5 10 6.10 2.0 65 65 65 +0 11 Coastal Path 5 61.0 11 8.35 0.0 72 74 74 +2 12 Emerald Flame 5 52.0 12 11.60 0.0 49 56 56 +7 13 Cross Examiner 3 55.5 13 14.35 2.0 59 59 59 +0 99 Siberian Fox 2 57.5 99 0.00 1.0 - 65 65 +0 99 Victory Of Dubai 3 62.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 72 72 +0 99 Isn't It Bliss 4 52.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 51 51 +0 99 Jackson Misissippi 6 55.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 62 62 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warbonnet Creek (IRE) | 57 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Great Melody | 71 | 79 | 71 | +8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Ygritte Line | 70 | 69 | 70 | -1 | 1.0 | ||
| 4 | Notorix | 71 | 68 | 75 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Flying Peter | 61 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Miss Rose | 58 | 57 | 59 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Granddaddy Purple | 52 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Persica | 59 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Psychedelic Eric | 56 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Modern Magician | 65 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Coastal Path | 72 | 77 | 74 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Emerald Flame | 49 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Cross Examiner | 59 | 50 | 59 | -9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Siberian Fox | - | 62 | 65 | -3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Victory Of Dubai | - | 70 | 72 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Isn't It Bliss | - | 51 | 51 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Jackson Misissippi | - | 58 | 62 | -4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points