Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 30 JUNE MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Ygritte
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Warbonnet Creek (IR  4    55.0    1    0.00     2.5   57    57           57    +0
2    Great Melody         3    61.5    2    0.75     2.0   71    71           71    +0
3    Ygritte              2    60.0    3    1.00     1.0   70    70           70    +0
4    Notorix              6    61.5    4    1.10     0.0   71    75           75    +4
5    Flying Peter         4    56.5    5    1.35     2.5   61    60           60    -1
6    Miss Rose            3    55.5    6    2.35     2.0   58    59           59    +1
7    Granddaddy Purple    3    52.0    7    2.85     2.0   52    52           52    +0
8    Persica              5    55.5    8    4.10     0.0   59    63           63    +4
9    Psychedelic Eric     3    54.0    9    4.85     2.0   56    56           56    +0
10   Modern Magician      3    58.5    10   6.10     2.0   65    65           65    +0
11   Coastal Path         5    61.0    11   8.35     0.0   72    74           74    +2
12   Emerald Flame        5    52.0    12   11.60    0.0   49    56           56    +7
13   Cross Examiner       3    55.5    13   14.35    2.0   59    59           59    +0
99   Siberian Fox         2    57.5    99   0.00     1.0   -     65           65    +0
99   Victory Of Dubai     3    62.0    99   0.00     2.0   -     72           72    +0
99   Isn't It Bliss       4    52.0    99   0.00     2.5   -     51           51    +0
99   Jackson Misissippi   6    55.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     62           62    +0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Warbonnet Creek (IRE) 57 56 57 -1 2.5 -
2 Great Melody 71 79 71 +8 2.0 -
3 Ygritte Line 70 69 70 -1 1.0
4 Notorix 71 68 75 -7 0.0 -
5 Flying Peter 61 52 60 -8 2.5 -
6 Miss Rose 58 57 59 -2 2.0 -
7 Granddaddy Purple 52 50 52 -2 2.0 -
8 Persica 59 48 63 -15 0.0 -
9 Psychedelic Eric 56 50 56 -6 2.0 -
10 Modern Magician 65 56 65 -9 2.0 -
11 Coastal Path 72 77 74 +3 0.0 -
12 Emerald Flame 49 35 56 -21 0.0 -
13 Cross Examiner 59 50 59 -9 2.0 -
99 Siberian Fox - 62 65 -3 1.0 -
99 Victory Of Dubai - 70 72 -2 2.0 -
99 Isn't It Bliss - 51 51 ✓ Match 2.5 -
99 Jackson Misissippi - 58 62 -4 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points