Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: BOOK FOR JULY DAY IN JOZI 0116811796 MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Follow My Path
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 The Inkosana 3 51.0 1 0.00 2.0 55 46 55 +0 2 Follow My Path 5 55.0 2 5.75 0.0 58 58 58 +0 3 Romeo's Magic 7 60.5 3 6.25 0.0 69 69 69 +0 4 Nuclear Force 5 59.5 4 9.00 0.0 71 67 67 -4 5 Allthewayfromusa 2 55.0 5 11.25 0.0 62 58 58 -4 6 Corapi 3 53.0 6 12.50 2.0 54 50 50 -4 7 Twice In Camden 3 52.5 7 15.75 2.0 53 49 49 -4 8 Pretty In Pearls 3 55.0 8 16.75 2.0 57 54 54 -3 9 Summerland 5 58.5 9 24.00 0.0 74 65 65 -9 10 Wonderworld 2 59.0 10 28.50 0.0 70 66 66 -4 11 Devilish Dancer 4 52.5 11 99.99 1.0 52 51 51 -1 99 Libeccio 5 57.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 63 63 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Inkosana | 55 | 67 | 55 | +12 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Follow My Path Line | 58 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Romeo's Magic | 69 | 73 | 69 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Nuclear Force | 71 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Allthewayfromusa | 62 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Corapi | 54 | 67 | 50 | +17 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Twice In Camden | 53 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Pretty In Pearls | 57 | 56 | 54 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Summerland | 74 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Wonderworld | 70 | 64 | 66 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Devilish Dancer | 52 | 50 | 51 | -1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Libeccio | - | 62 | 63 | -1 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points