Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SUNDAY 2 JULY MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Looking Hot
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Qhawe Lami 4 61.0 1 0.00 2.5 87 69 87 +0 2 Brosnan 2 60.5 2 1.00 1.0 71 71 71 +0 3 Looking Hot 3 59.0 3 1.90 2.0 66 66 66 +0 4 Great Times 3 54.5 4 2.70 2.0 62 57 57 -5 5 Red Carpet Girl 3 55.0 5 3.10 2.0 58 58 58 +0 6 Mandalay 3 55.0 6 3.35 2.0 58 58 58 +0 7 Insatiable 3 59.5 7 3.50 2.0 72 67 67 -5 8 Glitterfox 2 59.0 8 4.40 1.0 68 68 68 +0 9 Smelting 7 55.0 9 5.90 0.0 57 62 62 +5 10 Fulliautomatix 3 57.0 10 6.00 2.0 62 62 62 +0 11 Tangerine Pearl 2 56.5 11 7.25 1.0 63 63 63 +0 12 Mercer Girl 6 54.0 12 8.00 0.0 56 60 60 +4 13 Clean Living 2 60.0 13 16.00 1.0 70 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Qhawe Lami | 87 | 80 | 87 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Brosnan | 71 | 75 | 71 | +4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | Looking Hot Line | 66 | 68 | 66 | +2 | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | Great Times | 62 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Red Carpet Girl | 58 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Mandalay | 58 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Insatiable | 72 | 62 | 67 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Glitterfox | 68 | 57 | 68 | -11 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Smelting | 57 | 52 | 62 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Fulliautomatix | 62 | 66 | 62 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Tangerine Pearl | 63 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 1.0 | - | |
| 12 | Mercer Girl | 56 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Clean Living | 70 | 61 | 70 | -9 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points