Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: 4RACING THANKS AND APPRECIATES JACQUES STRYDOM RACING PINNACLE STAKES (Open to all horses)
Line Horse
Inherit The Rain
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bush Tracker 6 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 98 100 100 +2 2 Tarantino 4 59.5 2 0.75 0.5 99 103 103 +4 3 Inherit The Rain 4 61.0 3 2.00 0.5 105 105 105 +0 4 Safe Return 3 61.0 4 3.00 1.0 103 103 103 +0 5 Naval Secret 4 58.0 5 3.50 0.5 92 97 97 +5 6 Castletown 3 61.0 6 4.50 1.0 103 101 101 -2 7 Greenlighttoheaven 4 58.0 7 5.75 0.5 94 96 96 +2 8 Paris Rix 3 56.5 8 7.25 1.0 86 92 92 +6 9 Celtillus 5 58.0 9 8.50 0.0 94 97 97 +3 10 Origami 4 58.0 10 31.00 0.5 92 96 96 +4 99 Safari Blue 3 61.0 99 0.00 1.0 - 101 101 +0 99 Speed Machine 4 62.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 104 104 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bush Tracker | 98 | 100 | 100 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Tarantino | 99 | 96 | 103 | -7 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | Inherit The Rain Line | 105 | 98 | 105 | -7 | 0.5 | ||
| 4 | Safe Return | 103 | 83 | 103 | -20 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Naval Secret | 92 | 91 | 97 | -6 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Castletown | 103 | 90 | 101 | -11 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Greenlighttoheaven | 94 | 83 | 96 | -13 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Paris Rix | 86 | 81 | 92 | -11 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Celtillus | 94 | 92 | 97 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Origami | 92 | 92 | 96 | -4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Safari Blue | - | 91 | 101 | -10 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Speed Machine | - | 104 | 104 | ✓ Match | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points