Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING MONDAY 3 JULY MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Atkinson Grimshaw
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 El Romiachi 8 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 73 72 73 +0 2 Humble Tune 4 53.5 2 2.75 0.5 65 65 65 +0 3 Atkinson Grimshaw 4 59.0 3 2.85 0.5 76 76 76 +0 4 Irish Rain 4 58.0 4 2.90 0.5 74 74 74 +0 5 Bournemouth 5 57.0 5 3.15 0.0 75 73 73 -2 6 Then In Focus 2 58.0 6 3.65 0.0 77 74 74 -3 7 Homer Fidget 4 53.0 7 5.40 0.5 63 62 62 -1 8 Ancestral Prayer 4 61.0 8 8.40 0.5 80 78 78 -2 9 Dammi 2 57.5 9 8.90 0.0 76 72 72 -4 10 Waiting For Summer 3 61.0 10 99.98 1.5 80 76 76 -4 99 Que Shiraz 3 57.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 68 68 +0 99 Dawn Of A New Era 4 58.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 72 72 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Romiachi | 73 | 77 | 73 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Humble Tune | 65 | 58 | 65 | -7 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | Atkinson Grimshaw Line | 76 | 75 | 76 | -1 | 0.5 | ||
| 4 | Irish Rain | 74 | 71 | 74 | -3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Bournemouth | 75 | 110 | 73 | +37 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Then In Focus | 77 | 71 | 74 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Homer Fidget | 63 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Ancestral Prayer | 80 | 79 | 78 | +1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | Dammi | 76 | 55 | 72 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Waiting For Summer | 80 | 79 | 76 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Que Shiraz | - | 72 | 68 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Dawn Of A New Era | - | 78 | 72 | +6 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points