Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: TAB 4RACING APP OPEN MAIDEN (For Maiden R15 000 Win Bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Belle's First Wave
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Gold For Africa 3 57.5 1 0.00 1.5 65 51 51 -14 2 Twice A Saint 2 55.0 2 1.50 0.0 55 54 54 -1 3 Wolfram 3 60.0 3 1.55 1.5 65 61 61 -4 4 Belle's First Wave 3 54.5 4 2.05 1.5 50 50 50 +0 5 Master Of Defense 3 59.0 5 2.15 1.5 63 59 59 -4 6 Afrodite 3 55.0 6 5.40 1.5 60 46 50 -10 7 Happiness Is 3 53.5 7 19.65 1.5 39 43 43 +4 8 Natasha Rostov 3 53.5 8 43.90 1.5 53 43 43 -10 99 Mohandas 3 59.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 54 54 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gold For Africa | 65 | 68 | 51 | +17 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Twice A Saint | 55 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Wolfram | 65 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Belle's First Wave Line | 50 | 51 | 50 | +1 | 1.5 | ||
| 5 | Master Of Defense | 63 | 63 | 59 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Afrodite | 60 | 56 | 50 | +6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Happiness Is | 39 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Natasha Rostov | 53 | 53 | 43 | +10 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Mohandas | - | 64 | 54 | +10 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points